Given the fact that you have a ceph that shows both your bone and soft tissue profile, either doctor would be in the capacity to make a calculation of where your chin should be. But the 'exact' mm is not set in stone. There is some leeway or 'wiggle room'.
In general, wiggle room for the CHIN displacement doesn't need to be 'exact' to the last mm because it does NOT involve changing the BITE. So, even if the doctor made a highly exact calculation to the last mm of how he would move the chin BONE, if he went on 'auto-pilot' and stuck to the exact calculation for the chin BONE to be moved, it could imply he's not allowing himself the wiggle room to 'eyeball' the SOFT TISSUE response to the bone displacement calculation. Eyeballing the soft tissue response to the displacement of the chin BONE is basically the act of an aesthetic judgement of what would look good on the patient which is possible to do during a surgery because after they make a cut to the bone, they can move the chin complex in accordance with where the soft tissue (the profile you see in the MIRROR) would look good. Soft tissue response to bone movement is not as 'exact' or exactly predictable as is the calculation for the bone movement.
In fact a basic aesthetic guideline of where your (male) chin should be is pretty straight forward (assuming you have elementary geometry and math under belt). You drop a vertical tangent to the outer most curvature to the lower lip. The (soft tissue of the) chin should be about 3 degrees behind that line (on the average). The wiggle room comes in where it could be moved to touch the vertical drop down line IF that would look good (aesthetic eyeballing against a calculation). To over simplify, the first step is to drop a straight line vertical from the lower lip where the chin should be a little behind that line but not really in front of it. That's the first step in a basic chin evaluation.
The next basic step involved with planning out a SLIDING genio involves choosing the angle of inclination the CUT to the chin has with the horizontal plane. The genio cut is basically a diagonal one that's inclined 'X' degrees away from the horizontal plane. What 'X' should be depends on both vertical (upward to shorten) and horizontal (outward) displacement components that are optimal given the patient. For example if one wanted to minimize how much a sliding genio could make the chin (vertically) shorter and maximize how much it could bring the chin (horizontally) outward, the cut would be LESS away from the horizontal plane than it would be if you wanted to minimize the horizontal displacement and maximize the vertical shortening. To over simply this, there is a RANGE as to the ANGLE of the CUT that can be made/adjusted for a sliding genio.
So, if one doctor is telling you that the sliding genio will give you a step-off where he needs to blend that in with gortex and the other one is telling you that you wont' get a step-off, it just means they ANGLE the cut differently. So, the doctor predicting a step-off would be using a higher angle cut than the one not predicting a step-off.
Since it looks (to me, from looking at your ceph) that you would want to MAXIMIZE horizontal outward displacement vector of the chin and MINIMIZE vertical shortening displacement vector, I'd opt for the lower angle cut (ball park about 10 deg for sliding genio) UNLESS, you thought your chin was longer than you liked it and wanted to see it shorter.
So, IF you wanted more shortening of the chin along with some outward horizontal advancement, the gortex would cover the step off and also more gortex could be used to advance the chin further outward,like an implant does. Gortex can be used for additional augmentation and since it can be placed LAYER BY LAYER, it yields itself to adjustments that can be made during the surgery that look good to the eye. In that case, you would choose the doctor who does that.
On the other hand, if you were totally averse to having anything other than your own bone used in a surgery and wanted to maximize horizontal (outward) displacement and mimimize vertical (upward/shortening) displacement of the chin with NO HELP from ANY material (eg. layer by layer gortex) used to fine tune further adjustments that could be made during the surgery, then you would choose the doctor who doesn't do it that way.